Uncertainty is a fundamental feature of ecological systems and their management: knowledge of the system state and its dynamics is imperfect, actions have uncertain consequences, and factors like climate change will alter the environment in ways that can be hard to predict. My dissertation represents a range of approaches to uncertainty in ecology and conservation, from improving inference about complex biological systems to optimizing management actions that alter stochastic dynamics.
Admittance Semester/Year and Program
Fall 2022, PhD
Education
Master of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, 2021
BS, Biology, Haverford College, 2017
Research Lab
Boettiger Lab and de Valpine Lab
Selected Publications
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Keller, A.G., Goldstein, B.G., Skare, L., de Valpine, P. An integrated integral projection model (IPM2) to disentangle size-structured harvest and natural mortality. (2025). Journal of Animal Ecology. 95:157–174.https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.70176
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Keller, A.G. and Kelly, R.P. eDNAjoint: an R package for interpreting paired or semipaired environmental DNA and traditional survey data in a Bayesian framework. (2025) Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 00,1–9.https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.70000
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Keller, A.G., Counihan, T.D., Grosholz, E.D., Boettiger, C. The transition from resistance to acceptance: managing a marine invasive species in a changing world. (2025) Journal of Applied Ecologyhttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.14881
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Goldstein, B.R., Keller, A.G., Calhoun, K.L., Barker, K.J., Montealegre-Mora, F., Serota, M.W., Van Scoyoc, A., Parker-Shames, P., Androzzi, C., de Valpine, P. (2024) How do ecologists estimate occupancy in practice? Ecography. e07402.https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07402
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Keller, A.G., Dahlhoff, E.P., Bracewell, R., Chatla, K., Bachtrog, D., Rank, N.E., Williams, CM. (2023). Multi-locus genomic signatures of local adaptation to snow across the landscape in California populations of the willow leaf beetle. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 290(2005).https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2023.0630 5
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Keller, A.G., Grason, E. McDonald, P.S., Ramón-Laca, A., Kelly, R.P. (2022). Tracking an invasion front with environmental DNA. Ecological Applications. e2561.https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.256
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Keller, A.G., Apprill, A., Lebaron, P., Robbins, J., Romano, T., Overton, E., Yuan, R., Rong, Y., Pollara, S., Whalen, K. (2021). Characterizing the culturable surface microbiomes of diverse marine animals. FEMS Microbiology Ecology. 97, fiab040.https://doi.org/10.1093/femsec/fiab040
Selected Honors and Awards
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Department of Energy Computational Science Graduate Fellowship, 2023 - 2027
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McKernan Award for Most Outstanding Thesis, University of Washington, 2021
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Irving Finger Prize in Biology, Haverford College, 2017
Decision theory, statistical ecology
